[1] CRED EM-DAT: the international disaster database[EB/OL]. [2019-09-09].https://public.emdat.be/mapping. [2] 华敏,蒋代,潘旭海,等. NaTech事件中泄漏致多米诺效应风险分析[J]. 南京工业大学学报:自然科学版, 2019, 41(5):561-569. HUA Min, JIANG Dai, PAN Xuhai, et al. Risk analysis of domino effect of leakage in NaTech events [J]. Journal of Nanjing University of Technology:Natural Science Edition,2019,41(5):561-569. [3] 黄孔星,陈国华,曾涛,等. 化工园区Na-Tech事件定量风险评价与防控体系评述[J]. 化工进展, 2019, 38(7): 3 482-3 494. HUANG Kongxing, CHEN Guohua, ZENG Tao, et al. Review of quantitative risk assessment and pre-control system of Na-Tech event in chemical industry Park[J]. Chemical Industry and Engineering Progress, 2019, 38(7): 3 482-3 494. [4] 郭跃. 灾害易损性研究的回顾与展望[J]. 灾害学, 2005, 20(4): 92-96. GUO Yue. Review of the research on hazard vulnerability[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2005, 20(4): 92-96. [5] 区至培. 美国战争的脆弱性[J]. 世界知识, 1951(23):20. [6] 张文柳,张杰. 环渤海地区水旱灾害经济损失评价[J]. 灾害学, 2005,20(2): 71-76. ZHANG Wenliu, ZHANG Jie. Evaluation of economic loss of flood and drought damage in Baohai rim[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2005,20(2): 71-76. [7] 石勇. 灾害情景下城市脆弱性评估研究:以上海市为例[D]. 上海:华东师范大学, 2010 . SHI Yong. Research on vulnerability assessment of cities on the disaster scenario: a case study of Shanghai city[D]. Shanghai:East China Normal University, 2010. [8] 邵秋芳,彭培好,黄洁,等. 长江上游安宁河流域生态环境脆弱性遥感监测[J]. 国土资源遥感, 2016, 28(2): 175-181. SHAO Qiufang, PENG Peihao, HUANG Jie, et al. Monitoring eco-environmental vulnerability in Anning river basin in the upper reaches of the Yangtze river using remote sensing techniques[J]. Remote Sensing for Land & Resources, 2016, 28(2): 175-181. [9] 余中元,李波,张新时. 湖泊流域社会生态系统脆弱性时空演变及调控研究:以滇池为例[J]. 人文地理, 2015, 30(2): 110-116. YU Zhongyuan, LI Bo, ZHANG Xinshi. Study of time-space evolution and control of vulnerability of lake basin social ecological system: a case of the Dianchi lake[J]. Human Geography, 2015, 30(2): 110-116. [10] 龚新梅,马媛,桂东伟,等. 干旱区典型流域天然草地生态脆弱性评价研究[J]. 成都理工大学学报:自然科学版, 2007, 34(2): 216-220. GONG Xinmei, MA Yuan, GUI Dongwei, et al. The ecological fragility appraisal of the natural meadow in a typical basin of arid area[J]. Journal of Chengdu University of Technology: Science & Technology Edition, 2007, 34(2): 216-220. [11] 郭跃. 自然灾害的社会易损性及其影响因素研究[J]. 灾害学, 2010, 25(1): 84-88. GUO Yue. A study on social vulnerability to natural hazards and its influencing factors[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2010, 25(1): 84-88. [12] 聂承静,杨林生,李海蓉. 中国地震灾害宏观人口脆弱性评估[J]. 地理科学进展, 2012, 31(3): 375-382. NIE Chengjing, YANG Linsheng, LI Hairong. Macro assessment of seismic population vulnerability in China[J]. Progress in Geography, 2012, 31(3): 375-382. [13] 刘绿柳. 水资源脆弱性及其定量评价[J]. 水土保持通报, 2002(2): 41-44. LIU Lyuliu. Concept and quantitive assessment of vulnerability of water resource[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2002(2): 41-44. [14] 宋志立. 贫困脆弱性研究文献综述[J]. 经济研究导刊, 2013(25): 184-186. [15] 苏飞,张平宇. 基于集对分析的大庆市经济系统脆弱性评价[J]. 地理学报, 2010, 65(4): 454-464. SU Fei, ZHANG Pingyu. Vulnerability assessment of petroleum city's economic system based on set pair analysis: a case study of Daqing city[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010, 65(4): 454-464. [16] 方创琳,王岩. 中国城市脆弱性的综合测度与空间分异特征[J]. 地理学报, 2015, 70(2): 234-247. FANG Chuanglin, WANG Yan. A comprehensive assessment of urban vulnerability and its spatial differentiation in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2015, 70(2): 234-247. [17] 王军武,吴寒,杨庭友. 基于投影寻踪的地铁车站工程暴雨内涝脆弱性评价[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019,29(9):1-7. WANG Junwu, WU Han, YANG Tingyou. Vulnerability assessment of rainfall and waterlogging in subway stations based on projection pursuit model[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2019,29(9):1-7. [18] 徐君,李贵芳,王育红. 国内外资源型城市脆弱性研究综述与展望[J]. 资源科学, 2015, 37(6): 1 266-1 278. XU Jun, LI Guifang, WANG Yuhong. Review and prospect of resource-based city vulnerability in China and Abroad[J]. Resources Science, 2015, 37(6): 1 266-1 278. [19] 张晓莹. 《国际科学理事会非洲科学计划—全球环境变化》汉译实践报告[D].青岛:山东科技大学, 2018. ZHANG Xiaoying. Report on E-C translation practice of ICSU ROA science plan-global environmental change[D]. Qingdao: Shandong University of Science and Technology, 2018. [20] 陈萍,陈晓玲. 全球环境变化下人-环境耦合系统的脆弱性研究综述[J]. 地理科学进展, 2010, 29(4): 454-462. CHEN Ping, CHEN Xiaoling. Summary on research of coupled human-environment system vulnerability under global environmental change[J]. Progress in Geography, 2010, 29(4): 454-462. [21] 王春乙,张继权,霍治国,等. 农业气象灾害风险评估研究进展与展望[J]. 气象学报, 2015, 73(1): 1-19. WANG Chunyi, ZHANG Jiquan, HUO Zhiguo, et al. Prospects and progresses in the research of risk assessment of agro-meteorological disasters[J]. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2015, 73(1): 1-19. [22] 倪长健. 论自然灾害风险评估的途径[J]. 灾害学, 2013, 28(2): 1-5. NI Changjian. Discussion on the approaches of natural disaster risk assessment[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2013, 28(2): 1-5. [23] 魏建波,赵文吉,关鸿亮,等. 基于GIS的区域干旱灾害风险区划研究:以武陵山片区为例[J]. 灾害学, 2015, 30(1): 198-204. WEI Jianbo, ZHAO Wenji, GUAN Hongliang, et al. A zoning study of region drought disaster risk based on GIS: the case of Wuling mountain area[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2015, 30(1): 198-204. [24] 刘晓然,苏经宇,王威,等. 城市抗震防灾能力评估的系统动力学模型[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2013, 22(5): 71-76. LIU Xiaoran, SU Jingyu, WANG Wei, et al. System dynamics model of urban earthquake disaster resistance and prevention capacity evaluation[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2013, 22(5): 71-76. [25] NECCI A, ANTONIONI G, COZZANI V, et al. A model for process equipment damage probability assessment due to lightning[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2013, 115:91-99. [26] 颜峻,左哲. 自然灾害风险评估指标体系及方法研究[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2010,20(11):61-65. YAN Jun, ZUO Zhe. Research on natural disaster risk assessment index system and method[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2010,20(11):61-65. [27] WHITE G F. Natural hazards, local, national, global[J]. American Geographical Society, 1976, 66(2):247-249. [28] KIRSTIN D. Exploring differences in our common future(s): the meaning of vulnerability to global environmental change[J]. Geoforum, 1992, 23(3):417-436. [29] CUTTER S L. Vulnerability to environment hazards[J]. Progress in Human Geography, 1996, 20(4):529-539. [30] TAMARO A, CRIMAZ S, SANTULIN M, et al. Characterization of the expected seismic damage for a critical infrastructure: the case of the oil pipeline in Friuli Venezia Giulia (NE Italy)[J]. Bull Earthquake Eng, 2008,16:1 425-1 445. [31] CRUZ A M, KRAUSMANN E, FRANCHELLO G. Analysis of tsunami impact scenarios at an oil refinery[J]. Nat Hazards, 2011,58:141-162. [32] KHAKZAD N, DADASHZADEH M, RENIERS G. Quantitative assessment of wildfire risk in oil facilities[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2018, 223:433-443. [33] KHAKZAD N, GELDER P V. Fragility assessment of chemical storage tanks subject to floods[J]. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 2017, 111:75-84. [34] KHAKZAD N, GELDER P V . Vulnerability of industrial plants to flood-induced Natechs: a Bayesian network approach[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2018, 169:403-411. [35] NADERPOUR M, KHAKZAD N . Texas LPG fire: domino effects triggered by natural hazards[J]. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 2018, 116:354-364. [36] CRUZ A M, OKADA N . Methodology for preliminary assessment of Natech risk in urban areas[J]. Natural Hazards, 2008, 46(2):199-220. [37] HAJJ C E, PIATYSZEK E, TARDY A, et al. Development of generic bow-tie diagrams of accidental scenarios triggered by flooding of industrial facilities (Natech)[J]. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2015, 36:72-83. [38] GIORDANO E S, ELSA P, VALERIO C, et al. Analysis of the impact of wildland-urban-interface fires on LPG domestic tanks[J]. Safety Science, 2020, 124:1-15. [39] GIRGIN S, KRAUSMANN E. Rapid-N: Rapid Natech risk assessment and mapping framework[J]. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2013, 26(6):949-960. [40] 华敏,潘旭海,蒋军成,等. 化工园区储罐多米诺效应的脆弱性评估[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019,29(4):177-182. HUA Min, PAN Xuhai, JIANG Juncheng, et al. Vulnerability assessment of tanks in chemical industry park under domino effect[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2019,29(4):177-182. [41] GUO Xiaoxue, JI Jie, FAISAL K, et al. Fuzzy Bayesian network based on an improved similarity aggregation method for risk assessment of storage tank accident[J]. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 2020,144:242-252. |